Population Growth Forecast: Queenstown

Queenstown, located in the Queenstown-Lakes District of New Zealand’s South Island, has witnessed consistent population growth over the past decade. This expansion has been largely driven by its booming tourism sector, strong economy, and desirable lifestyle. As of June 2024, the district's estimated population was approximately 52,400, reflecting a 2.7% increase from the previous year. 

With Queenstown population growth expected to continue, the region faces both opportunities and challenges, including housing affordability, infrastructure development, and environmental sustainability.

Projected Queenstown Population Growth

According to the Queenstown Lakes District Council's demand projections, the district's population is expected to continue its upward trend. The projections indicate that the population could reach approximately 62,000 by 2030 and 74,000 by 2040. 

These projections are based on medium-growth scenarios and consider factors such as historical growth rates, economic conditions, and infrastructure developments. It's important to note that actual population figures may vary depending on future economic trends, migration patterns, and policy decisions.​ 

Factors Driving Growth 

Several key factors are contributing to Queenstown's population growth: 

Tourism

Queenstown is renowned for its adventure tourism and stunning landscapes, attracting approximately 3 million visitors annually. This robust tourism sector has led to job creation and economic opportunities, drawing both domestic and international migrants to the area. (Source: News)

Infrastructure Development

To accommodate the growing number of residents and visitors, significant investments have been made in infrastructure. For instance, innovative transportation solutions, such as the proposed Whoosh gondola-like network, aim to address congestion and improve mobility within the region. (Source: ​TIME)

Housing Expansion

The demand for housing has led to numerous residential developments. However, the Queenstown population growth has also resulted in housing affordability challenges, with high property prices and rental shortages being notable issues. ​

Economic Opportunities

Beyond tourism, sectors such as construction and hospitality have flourished, offering diverse employment opportunities that attract individuals and families seeking a high quality of life.​ (Source: Infometrics).

Summary of Population Projections 

The table below summarizes the population estimates and projections for the Queenstown-Lakes District:

Year	Estimated/Projected Population
2024	52,400
2030	62,000
2040	74,000

Sources: Queenstown Lakes District Council Demand Projections.  

Queenstown's anticipated population growth underscores the importance of strategic planning to ensure sustainable development, infrastructure adequacy, and the preservation of the region's unique environmental and cultural assets. 

As Queenstown population growth continues, careful urban planning will be essential to balance economic expansion with environmental sustainability. Stay updated with the latest insights from Staircase.